Monday, January 22, 2018

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Jan 22 0054 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 15 - 21 January 2018
Solar activity was at very low levels with a few B-class flares observed from Region 2696 (S13, L=123, class/area Cro/030 on 16 Jan). No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at moderate levels on 15-18 Jan with a maximum flux of 273 pfu observed at 18/1925 UTC. Normal levels were observed on 19-21 January.
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels on 15 Jan, quiet levels on 16-18 Jan and quiet to unsettled levels on 19-21 Jan. The field was influenced on 15 Jan by waning positive polarity
CH HSS influence. On 19-21 Jan, a pair of negative polarity CH HSSs resulted in weak geomagnetic field enhancements.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 22 January - 17 February 2018
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout the outlook period. No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 24-25 Jan; moderate levels on 22-23 Jan, 26-28 Jan and 11-15 Feb; and normal levels for the remainder of the outlook period. Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 22-24 Jan, 28 Jan, 04-05 Feb, 09-11 Feb and 15-17 Feb, all
due to influence from recurrent CH HSSs. Mostly quiet conditions are expected for the remainder of the outlook period.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Jan 22 0054 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2018-01-22
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2018 Jan 22      69          10          3
2018 Jan 23      69          10          3
2018 Jan 24      69           8          3
2018 Jan 25      67           5          2
2018 Jan 26      67           5          2
2018 Jan 27      67           5          2
2018 Jan 28      67          10          3
2018 Jan 29      69           5          2
2018 Jan 30      69           5          2
2018 Jan 31      70           5          2
2018 Feb 01      70           5          2
2018 Feb 02      70           5          2
2018 Feb 03      70           5          2
2018 Feb 04      70           8          3
2018 Feb 05      70           8          3
2018 Feb 06      70           5          2
2018 Feb 07      70           5          2
2018 Feb 08      70           5          2
2018 Feb 09      70           8          3
2018 Feb 10      70          12          4
2018 Feb 11      70           8          3
2018 Feb 12      70           5          2
2018 Feb 13      70           5          2
2018 Feb 14      70           5          2
2018 Feb 15      70           8          3
2018 Feb 16      70          12          4
2018 Feb 17      68           8          3
(NOAA)