Monday, July 25, 2016

Weekly Porpagation Forecast Bulletins


Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Jul 25 0218 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 18 - 24 July 2016

Solar activity was low on 18-20 and 22 July with multiple C-class flares from Regions 2565 (N04,L=175, class/area Dho/320 on 16 July) and 2567 (N05, L=166, class/area Dki/380 on 21 July). The largest flare during that period was a C4.6 from Region 2567 at 20/2215 UTC.
Moderate solar levels were observed on 21 and 24 July with four M-class flares observed from Region 2567. The largest flare during that period was an M2.0 observed at 24/0620 UTC. Activity reached high levels on 23 July with three M-class flares from Region 2567.

The first was an M5.0, which peaked at 23/0211 UTC. The second was an M7.6/2b flare with an associated 310 sfu Tenflare. The final was an M5.5/3b, which peaked 15 minutes later at 23/0531 UTC had accompanying Type II (729 km/s shock velocity) and Type IV radio emissions, as well as a 900 sfu Tenflare. Two CMEs were observed in coronagraph imagery lifting off the west limb at 23/0524 UTC and 23/0548 UTC. Both CMEs were determined to not have an Earth-directed component.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit. However, a slight enhancement to near 1 pfu was observed at 23/0725 UTC due to the flare activity from early on 23 July.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels on 18-19 July, normal levels from 20-23 July, and moderate levels on 24 July.

Geomagnetic field activity reached minor storm levels on 19-20 and 24 July due to the shock arrival of two CMEs. The first shock  arrival was likely associated with flare activity on 16 July and was
observed at the ACE spacecraft at 19/2310 UTC with a speed of approximately 450 km/s. The Bt component increased from near 5 nT to 17 nT and Bz reached a maximum southward deviation of -12 nT. Minor storm levels were observed from 19/2355 until 20/0600 UTC. The second shock enhancement was observed near 24/1450 UTC and likely associated with flare activity on 20 July. Wind speeds increased from near 400 km/s to 470 km/s accompanied by a Bt enhancement from
5 nT to 13 nT and southward deflection of Bz to -9 nT for nearly three hours. Minor storm conditions were observed with this event during the 24/1800-2100 UTC synoptic period. Geomagnetic field
activity was quiet on 18, 21-23 July with a nominal solar wind.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 25 July - 20 August 2016

Solar activity is expected to be very low to low for the first half of the period with a chance for M-class flares from 05-19 August due to the return of old Region 2567.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels for the majority of the period with high levels from 05-15 August due to recurrent CH HSS
events.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach active levels on 25-27 July due to lingering CME effects and the arrival of a positive polarity CH HSS. Active to minor storm levels are expected
on 29 July, 03-05, 08, and 10 August due to recurrent CH HSS activity. Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for the remainder of the period.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Jul 25 0218 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2016-07-25
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2016 Jul 25      75           8          3
2016 Jul 26      75          15          3
2016 Jul 27      70          12          3
2016 Jul 28      70           8          3
2016 Jul 29      70          20          5
2016 Jul 30      70          12          3
2016 Jul 31      70           8          3
2016 Aug 01      70           5          2
2016 Aug 02      70           5          2
2016 Aug 03      70          20          5
2016 Aug 04      70          20          5
2016 Aug 05      80          15          4
2016 Aug 06      95          10          3
2016 Aug 07     105          10          3
2016 Aug 08     105          20          5
2016 Aug 09     105           8          3
2016 Aug 10     105          12          4
2016 Aug 11     105          10          3
2016 Aug 12     105           8          3
2016 Aug 13     105           5          2
2016 Aug 14     105           5          2
2016 Aug 15     105           8          3
2016 Aug 16     105          12          3
2016 Aug 17     100           5          2
2016 Aug 18      90           8          3
2016 Aug 19      85           8          3
2016 Aug 20      80           5          2
(NOAA)

Sunday, July 24, 2016

QSLing the Brickyard 400 NASCAR race

Kyle Bush wins 2015 Brickyard 400 NASCAR race

The Indianapolis Motor Speedway Amateur Radio Club (W9IMS) will conduct the third of its three 2016 special events, commemorating the Brickyard 400 NASCAR race, starting at midnight Indianapolis time (0400 UTC) Monday, July 18, and continuing through the afternoon of Sunday, July 24 (local time).

 Amateur radio operators who work W9IMS qualify for a special QSL card, as do SWLs who submit reception reports. (The club also awards a certificate, but that requires QSOs during or reception reports for all three 2016 W9IMS special events, including the Grand Prix of Indianapolis and the Indianapolis 500 in May.)    

 Please include a SASE with all QSL requests, which should be sent to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway Amateur Radio Club, P.O. Box 30954, Indianapolis, IN 46230. For additional information, including a list of scheduled operators, go to www.w9ims.org

W9IMS usually operates on or near the following frequencies: 7.240, 14.245 and 18.140, and possibly 144.240 SSB and 146.52 simplex FM on the morning of race day, July 24. Check spots on DX Summit – www.dxsummit.fi – to find out whether W9IMS is on the air at any given time. 
(Brian Smith W9IND) 



Saturday, July 23, 2016

From the Isle of Music set for Monday evening broadcast



Our July 26 (July 25 in the Americas on WBCQ) program includes more of María Felicia Pérez, director of Coro Exaudi, winner of the Choral Music category in Cubadisco 2016, and we will feature some Cuban Rock by Miel con Limón, winner of the Rock category in Cubadisco this year along with some new charanga by Orquesta Aragon, nominated in Traditional Popular Music this year. We will also play some Timba from the 1990s by Dan Den.

Two options for listening on shortwave:
WBCQ, 7490 KHz, Tuesdays 0000-0100 UTC
(8pm-9pm EDT Mondays in the Americas)
Channel 292, 6070 KHz, Tuesdays 1900-2000 UTC
(2100-2200 CEST)
See our Facebook page for more information.
(Tilford Productions)

Summer frequency updates

All times UTC

New clandestine station, Eritrea Radio Muhtar/Idhaa-tu Sautiya(or Radio Adal, according to David Kernick via email on Sat July 16):
1500-1600 on 15205 ISS*100 kW / 125 deg to EaAf Arabic/Tigrinya Tue/Wed/Sat * according latest changes of Media Broadcast.

Other changes of Media Broadcast MBR, published on July 19

Bible Voice Broadcasting
0200-0215 on 11945 ERV 100 kW / 125 deg to SoAs English Tue, ex MDC
0200-0230 on 11945 ERV 100 kW / 125 deg to SoAs English Thu/Sat, ex MDC
0200-0300 on 11945 ERV 100 kW / 125 deg to SoAs English Sun, ex MDC
0300-0315 on  7310 MOS 300 kW / 126 deg to N/ME Arabic Dardasha 7, ex NAU
1400-1415 on 17650 NAU 250 kW / 095 deg to SoAs English Sun, cancelled
1400-1430 on 17650 ISS 250 kW / 083 deg to SoAs English 1st Sat, cancelled
1700-1730 on 15160 NAU 100 kW / 145 deg to CeAf Dinka, cancelled

Pan American Broadcasting
1430-1445 on 15205 SCB 100 kW / 090 deg to SoAs English Sun, ex NAU

Voice of Oromo Liberation
Effective from: 22 July
1700-1730 on 15420 NAU 100 kW / 139 deg to EaAf Afar Oromo Wed, unchanged
1730-1800 on 15420 NAU 100 kW / 139 deg to EaAf Amharic Wed, unchanged
1700-1730 on 15420 NAU 100 kW / 139 deg to EaAf Afar Oromo Fri, addtional
1700-1730 on 15420 ISS 100 kW / 130 deg to EaAf Amharic Sun, ex 1700-1800

Shiokaze Sea Breeze
Effective from: 20 July
1300-1330 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Chinese Mon
1300-1330 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Japanese Tue
1300-1330 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Korean Wed
1300-1330 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 English Thu
1300-1330 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Korean Fri
1300-1330 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Japanese Sat
1300-1330 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Korean Sun
1330-1400 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Korean Mon
1330-1400 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Japanese Tue
1330-1400 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Korean Wed
1330-1400 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 English Thu
1330-1400 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Korean Fri
1330-1400 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Korean Sat
1330-1400 NF  5965 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Japanese Sun
1405-1435 NF  7325 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 5935 Japanese Daily
1600-1630 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Chinese Mon
1600-1630 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Japanese Tue
1600-1630 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Korean Wed
1600-1630 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 English Thu
1600-1630 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Korean Fri
1600-1630 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Japanese Sat
1600-1630 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Korean Sun
1630-1700 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Korean Mon
1630-1700 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Japanese Tue
1630-1700 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Korean Wed
1630-1700 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 English Thu
1630-1700 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Korean Fri
1630-1700 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Korean Sat
1630-1700 NF  5915 YAM 300 kW / 280 deg to NEAs, ex 6165 Japanese Sun
(DX Bulgaria)

Euro weekend relays


Saturday HLR:
10.00 to 16.00 UTC, on 7265 KHz
RGI on Sunday:
09.00 to 10.00 UTC, on 7310  via shortwaveservice.com
Internet repeats:
15.00 to 17.00 UTC via  Coloradio.org + laut.fm/jukebox
Good reception ! Reports welcome at:  radiogloria@aol.com
RGI Website: http://rgi.fmkompakt.de

Sunday HLR:
09.00 to 12.00 UTC on 9485 kHz
E-mail: redaktion@hamburger-lokalradio.de  Thank you!
HLR FM-DAB+ Program via the Internet :    www.hamburger-lokalradio.net  Daily 24 h
Hobart Radio International:
Full Schedule A16: http://www.hriradio.org/p/current-schedule.html
Please note we have a new transmission on 15770 commencing this Sunday at 2100UTC via WRMI.
Please Email: hriradio@gmail.com   Thank you!
For outside the listening area please try the Twente/Netherlands Web RX at http://websdr.ewi.utwente.nl:8901/
You can also hear many European free and alternative stations via the Internet at: http://laut.fm/jukebox

Radio Channel 292  Transmission schedules:
http://www.channel292.de/schedule-for-bookings/ 
Radio Mi Amigo Transmission schedules:
www.radiomiamigo.es/shortwave
Good Listening!
73s
Tom Taylor
European Music Radio:
website: www.europeanmusicradio.com
email:    emrshortwave@gmail.com

Weekend VOA Radiogram Schedule

Hello friends,

Italian Broadcasting Corporation, IBC, has new MFSK32 transmissions. See the information below.

I have not been able to do a character-by-character analysis of all the reports on last weekend's Battle of the 55-wpm Modes, but it generally appears to me that MFSKI16 was best, followed by Olivia-8-1000, with BPSK63F most prone to errors. (In defense of BPSK63F, however, it has the narrowest bandwidth, and thus will be the most welcome on the amateur bands.)

Roger in Germany reminded us that BPSK63F, because it involves phase shift keying, may not work as well in AM mode, because, with fading, the two sidebands can be out of phase. The frequency shift keying of MFSK and Olivia suffer less from this phenomenon. I decoded the three modes using SSB on various receivers, but it still seems that BPSK63F had the most errors. Several listeners and I also decoded BPSK63F in AM mode (and a good signal) with 100% success.

Meanwhile, the html VOA Radiogram transmission schedule was received perfectly in many parts of the world, even where the MFSK32 images were fuzzy. (See some examples.)

This weekend, VOA Radiogram will again transmit an html document. This time, instead of using the Flmsg blank form, we will use the Flmsg file transfer form. When the content is all received, the file transfer window will open. You can save the document and open it when convenient.  (The photo in the document will come to your PC via the Internet rather than shortwave.) (See instructions at http://voaradiogram.net/post/147385924137/this-weekend-again-web-pages-via-shortwave )

Here is the lineup for VOA Radiogram, program 173, 23-24 July 2016, all in MFSK32, all centered on 1500 Hz:

 1:32  Program preview
 2:52  New map of cerebral cortex*
 9:21  X-shaped configuration at center of Milky Way*
14:41  US Navy will visit New Zealand*
19:04  Amateur radio numbers decline in Germany*
22:17  Kepler telescope discovers planets (Flmsg html file transfer)
27:18  Closing announcements  
* with image
** information about using Flmsg is at http://bit.ly/29Yen0J

Please send reception reports to radiogram@voanews.com

VOA Radiogram transmission schedule
(all days and times UTC):
Sat 0930-1000 5745 kHz
Sat 1600-1630 17580 kHz
Sun 0230-0300 5745 kHz
Sun 1930-2000 15670 kHz
All via the Edward R. Murrow transmitting station in North Carolina.

The Mighty KBC will broadcast to North America Sunday at 0000-0200 UTC (Saturday evening 8-10 pm EDT) on 9925 kHz, via Germany. A minute of MFSK32 will be transmitted at about 0130 UTC. It will be another Flmsg blank form, so an html item will pop up as a new window on your browser. (The large photo will come to your PC via the Internet rather than shortwave.) Reports for this KBC reception to Eric: themightykbc@gmail.com .

DigiDX will provide DX and media news in MFSK32 and possibly other modes (and they have been experimenting with html/svg content) :

Sunday 2130-2200 UTC, 15770 kHz, via WRMI Florida
Sunday 2330-2400 UTC, 11580 kHz, via WRMI Florida

Monday 2000-2130 UTC, 6070 kHz, via Channel 292 Germany

Daily 1830-1900 and 0530-0600 UTC, 6070 kHz, via Channel 292 Germany
Look for any additions or changes to the DigiDX schedule at http://www.digidx.uk/ or https://www.facebook.com/digidx/


IBC (Italian Broadcasting Corporation) has a broadcast to Europe on 6070 kHz, Wednesdays, 2000-2200 UTC, with MFSK32 and Olivia 16-500 at 2030-2100 UTC. And IBC has added MFSK32 transmissions via WRMI in Florida: Friday 0125-0200 UTC on 9955 kHz (Thursday 9:25 pm EDT), part of its 0100-0130 broadcast. And Saturday at 0155-0200 UTC (Friday evening 9:55 pm EDT), on 11580 kHz, part of its 0130-0200 broadcast.  See http://ibcradio.webs.com/ for the complete schedule and contact information.

Thank you for a large number of reports from last weekend. There was obviously much interest in the experimental nature of the program. I will start to compile a gallery of images today and hope to send them out by the end of the weekend.

I hope you can tune in and write in this weekend.
Kim Andrew Elliott
Producer and Presenter
VOA Radiogram
voaradiogram.net
Twitter: @VOARadiogram



Friday, July 22, 2016

BREAKING NEWS - Attack in Munich

The following Deutsche Welle current summer schedule. Follow ongoing events in Munich, Germany.

All times UTC

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/multiple-casualties-in-shooting-rampage-in-munich-shopping-mall-police/ar-BBuFw6E?li=BBmkt5R&ocid=spartandhp


Deutsche Welle
Amharic
1600-1700  daily  15275 (via Trincomalee, Sri Lanka) 17800 (via Dhabbaya, UAE)

Dari
1330-1400  daily  15215 (via Trincomalee, Sri Lanka) 15430 (via Dhabbaya, UAE) 17720 (via Trincomalee, Sri Lanka)

English
0400-0500  daily  9800 (via Meyerton, South Africa) 11820 (via Talata-Volonondry, Madagacar) 15250 (via Trincomalee, Sri Lanka)
0500-0600  daily  9800 (via Meyerton, SOuth Africa) 11820 (via Talata-Volonondry, Madagacar) 15255 (via Issoudun, France) 17800 (via Trincomalee, Sri Lanka)
0700-0800  daily  15530 (via Issoudun, France) 17800 (via Issoudun, France) 21780 (via Dhabbaya, UAE)

French
1700-1800  daily  15275 (via Issoudun, France) 15235 (via Issoudun, France) 17740 (via Issoudun, France) 17800 (via Ascension Is.)

Hausa
0630-0700  daily  9830 (via São Tomé and Príncipe) 15530 (via Nauen, Germany) 17800 (via Issoudun, France) 21780 (via Dhabbaya, UAE)
1300-1357  daily  9830 (via São Tomé and Príncipe) 17800 (via Ascension Is.) 21780 (via Dhabbaya, UAE)
1800-1900  daily  9830  (via São Tomé and Príncipe) 15275 (via Issoudun, France) 17800 (via Issoudun, France)

Pashto
1400-1430  daily  15215 (via Trincomalee, Sri Lanka) 15430 (via Trincomalee, Sri Lanka) 17720 (via Dhabbaya, UAE)

Swahili
0300-0400  daily  6045 (via Meyerton, S. Africa) 9800 (Nauen, Germany) 15250 (via Trincomalee, Sri Lanka)
1000-1100  daily  17710 (via Meyerton, S. Africa
1100-1200  daily  15275 (via Talata-Volonondry, Madagacar)
1500-1600  daily  15275 (via Trincomalee, Sri Lanka) 17710 (via Dhabbaya, UAE)
(AOKI)

Tuesday, July 19, 2016

Special Event Station for 160th Anniversary of Nikola Tesla birth



Nikola Tesla, a Serbian American inventor, electrical engineer, mechanical engineer, physicist, and futurist best known for his contributions to the design of the modern alternating current electricity supply system.

Amateur radio operators and shortwave listener's, still have time to verify the Special Event station. The station is currently active and will broadcast to August 21, 2016. Operation from 0000-2359 UTC on August 21. TM160NT, Montigny le Bretonneux, FRANCE. Union des RadioClubs, radioamateurs et écouteurs . 28.460 21.360 14.260 7.160 kHz. Certificate and QSL. U.R.C Union des Radio-Clubs F8URC, 3 Rue Saint Lugle , LILLERS 62190, FRANCE. Contact n5td@arrl.net on related subjects. QSL Via F8URC. www.urc.asso.fr
(ARRL)

Radio Taiwan International scheduled for special broadcast

Radio Taiwan International QSL (Gayle Van Horn Collection)
On July 22, 2016, Radio Taiwan is scheduled to broadcast a special broadcast as follows:

German service via Tanshui, Taiwan
1600-1610 UTC on 11665 TSH 300 kW/325 deg to West Europe in AM Mode
1620-1630 UTC on 11665 TSH 300 kW/325 deg to West Europe in DRM Mode
(SW Bulgaria)

Monday, July 18, 2016

From the Isle of Music ready for Monday night broadcast



The July19 (July 18 in the Americas on WBCQ) edition of From the Isle of Music includes more of María Felicia Pérez, Director of Coro Exaudi, winner of the Choral Music category in Cubadisco 2016, and our very special guest is El Noro, winner of the Popular Dance Music - New Artists category in Cubadisco 2016. We'll be playing some of the album Sin Escala by his group El Noro y Primera Clase and conversing with him about the album and the group. We will also have some Reyes 73 from the 1970s.

Two options on shortwave:
WBCQ, 7490 KHz, Tuesdays 0000 UTC (8pm EDT Mondays)
Channel 292, 6070 KHz, Tuesdays 1900 UTC (2100 CEST)
See the NOTES section of our Facebook page for more information
https://www.facebook.com/fromtheisleofmusic/?fref=ts
(Bill Tillford)

Brazilian monitoring from Spain

Blog Logs

Logs in Reinante, Spain 
All times UTC. All programming observed in Portuguese // parallel frequency
Logs edited for clarity

Brazil
4885, Radio Clube do Pará, Belém, 2301-2310. Announcer's comments to Brazilian songs. SINPO 4322. (Méndez)

5939.8, Voz Missionaria, Camboriú, 0457-0513, Religious songs and comments. SINPO 23322. (Méndez)

5965, Radio Transmundial, Santa María, 0525-0545. Religious comments. Very weak. signal, SINPO 14321. (Méndez)

6010, Radio Inconfidencia, Belo Horizonte, 0445-0457. Brazilian songs, Very weak signal,. SINPO 14321. (Méndez)

6135.1, Radio Aparecida, Aparecida, 2040-2046. Religious comments. // 11855. SINPO 14321. (Méndez)

6180, Radio Nacional da Amazonia, Brasilia, 2020-2031. Brazilian songs. // 11780. SINPO 24322. (Méndez)

9514.9, Radio Marumby, Curitiba, 2022-2037. Portuguese, comments to religious songs. SINPO 14321. (Méndez)

9565, Super Radio Deus e Amor, Curitiba, 2032-2038. Religious comments. // 11764.5. SINPO 14321. (Méndez)

9664.8, Voz Missionaria, Camboriú, 2026-2035. Religious comments. SINPO 24322. (Méndez)

9724.9, Radio RB2, Curitiba, 2030-2041. Religious comments, Portuguese. SINPO 13321. (Méndez)

9819.0, Radio 9 de Julho, Sao Paulo, 2021-2026. Religious comments. SINPO 14321. (Méndez)

11735, Radio Transmundial, Santa María, 1950-2003. Religious comments. Strong interference from Zanzibar same frequency. SINPO 213221. (Méndez)

11764.5, Super Radio Deus e Amor, Curitiba, 2024-2036. Religious program, SINPO  24322. (Méndez)

11780, Radio Nacional da Amazonia, Brasilia, 2018-2026. Brazilian songs. // 6180. SINPO 24322. (Méndez)

11815, Radio Brasil Central, Goiania, 2002-2016, 14-07, Announcer's comments. Interference from Arabia on 11820. SINPO 12321. (Méndez)

11855, Radio Aparecida, Aparecida, 2010-2027. Religious songs to comments. SINPO 23322. (Méndez)

11925.1, Radio Bandeirantes, Sao Paulo, 2013-2029. Soccer commentary and comments. SINPO  13321. (Méndez)

 11934.5, Radio RB2, Curitiba, 2028-2043. Religious comments, Portuguese. // 9724.9. SINPO 13221. (Méndez)
(Manuel Méndez, Lugo, Spain: Tecsun PL-880, Sangean ATS-909X/playdx)




Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins


Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Jul 18 0416 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact  www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 11 - 17 July 2016

Solar activity was at very low levels from 11-14 July with only a few simple sunspot regions. Region 2565 (N05, L=175, class/area ko/350 on 17 Jul) rotated onto the east limb on 11 July as a simple
Hsx spot class with a simple alpha magnetic class. By late on 14 July, another spot group began to emerge behind Region 2565 and was numbered 2567 (N05, L=165, class/area Dhi/330 on 17 Jul). Region 2567 quickly grew to over 300 millionths in area and was initially classified as a beta-gamma-delta magnetic group before some magnetic simplification occurred on 16 July. The region was downgraded to a beta-gamma magnetic class for the remainder of the period. Region 2567 became the most active region during 15-17 July producing 13 C-class flares. However, the close proximity of the two regions, as  well as an active inversion line between the two, resulted in
several flares to be attributed to Region 2565 on 17 July. The first was a long duration C1/Sf flare at 17/0803 UTC which was responsible for two CMEs observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery beginning at 17/1124 UTC and 17/1248 UTC. The first was a faint asymmetric halo CME while
the second was directed mostly off the east limb. Initial WSA-Enlil model output of the events showed a slow transit with effects possible on 21 July. The largest flare of the period, however, was a
C6 at 17/2335 UTC which also occurred on the inversion line and was subsequently attributed to Region 2565.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels throughout the period with a maximum flux of 5,512 pfu observed at 17/1630 UTC.

Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to G1 (Minor) storm levels. The majority of the period was under the influence of high  speed solar wind streams from a large, positive polarity, polar
connected coronal hole as well as an isolated, positive polarity coronal hole. Solar wind speeds reached highs around 550 km/s early on 11 July, 650 km/s late on 12 July, and 700 km/s early on 15 July before finally decreasing to around 440 km/s by the end of the period. Total field during the period only managed to reach a maximum of 9 nT at 12/0552 UTC. Prolonged periods of southward Bz reaching -8 nT on 12 July and -6 nT on 14 July resulted in periods of G1 (Minor) storm levels on 12 July and active periods on 14 July. The rest of the period was at quiet to unsettled levels with quiet
conditions observed on 17 July.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 18 July - 13 August 2016

Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a chance for M-class (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) flares from 18-24 July as Regions 2565 and 2567 transit across the visible disk. Very low levels are
expected for 25 Juy-04 August. A return to low levels with a chance for M-class flaring is expected for 05-13 August with the return of Regions 2565 and 2567.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at high levels on 18-19, 23-27 July, and again on 5-13 August due to recurrent CH HSS activity. Normal to moderate
levels are expected for the remaining forecast period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 19-20, 22-24, 28, 30 July and on 03-08, 10-11 August with G1 (Minor) storm levels likely on 03-04 and 08 August due to
recurrent CH HSS activity. A CME associated with the 17 July long-duration C1 flare is likely to arrive early on 21 July causing unsettled to active levels.


Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Jul 18 0416 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html #
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2016-07-18
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2016 Jul 18     105           5          2
2016 Jul 19     105           8          3
2016 Jul 20     105          12          4
2016 Jul 21     100          15          4
2016 Jul 22     100          12          4
2016 Jul 23      95          12          4
2016 Jul 24      90          10          3
2016 Jul 25      80           5          2
2016 Jul 26      75           5          2
2016 Jul 27      70           5          2
2016 Jul 28      70           8          3
2016 Jul 29      70           9          3
2016 Jul 30      70           8          3
2016 Jul 31      70           8          3
2016 Aug 01      70           5          2
2016 Aug 02      70           5          2
2016 Aug 03      70          20          5
2016 Aug 04      70          20          5
2016 Aug 05      80          15          4
2016 Aug 06      95          10          3
2016 Aug 07     105          10          3
2016 Aug 08     105          20          5
2016 Aug 09     105           8          3
2016 Aug 10     105          12          4
2016 Aug 11     105          10          3
2016 Aug 12     105           8          3
2016 Aug 13     105           5          2
(NOAA)

Voice of Indonesia monitoring observations

After a few days absence, Voice of Indonesia was monitored on July 12, 2016
 
All times UTC
1000-1100  9525.9 JAK 250 kW / 135 deg to AUS  English
1100-1200  9525.9 JAK 250 kW / 010 deg to EaAs Chinese
1200-1300  9525.9 JAK 250 kW / 010 deg to EaAs Japanese
1300-1400  9525.9 JAK 250 kW / 010 deg to EaAs English
1400-1500  9525.9 JAK 250 kW / 010 deg to EaAs Indonesian
1500-1600  9525.9 JAK 250 kW / 010 deg to EaAs Chinese
1600-1700  9525.9 JAK 250 kW / 290 deg to N/ME Arabic
1700-1800  9525.9 JAK 250 kW / 290 deg to WeEu Spanish
1800-1900  9525.9 JAK 250 kW / 290 deg to WeEu German
1900-2000  9525.9 JAK 250 kW / 290 deg to WeEu English
2000-2100  9525.9 JAK 250 kW / 290 deg to WeEu French
From 1900 totally blocked by China Radio International's Russian service on 9525 kHz.
(DX Bulgaria)

Friday, July 15, 2016

LATE BREAKING .... Coup in Turkey

Turkish Coup Attempt Under Way as Erdogan Vows to Stay in Power

Turkish army officers said they seized power in the country as warplanes flew over the capital and tanks blocked roads in Istanbul. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, by video link to a local TV station, said he’s still in charge and urged the public to take to the streets and public squares in resistance.

Additional story at: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-07-15/turkish-premier-says-elements-of-army-attempt-to-seize-power

To follow events in Turkey, enclosed is their summer broadcast schedule.

Voice of Turkey - A16 Summer Schedule
Effective: 27 March - 30 October 2016

All times UTC
Arabic
0900-1000 11750va
1400-1500 9540va 17770va
Azerbaijan
0700-0800 11730as
1530-1600 9530as
1600-1630 9530as
Bulgarian
1100-1130 7210eu
Chinese
1100-1200 15240as
Dari/Pashto
1500-1600 11765as
1600-1630 11765as
English
0300-0400 6165as 9515va
1230-1300 15450va
1300-1330 15450va
1630-1700 15520as
1700-1730 15520as
1830-1900 9785eu
1900-1930 9785eu
2030-2100 7205va
2100-2130 7205va
2200-2300 9830va
French
1730-1800 7360af
1800-1830 7360af
1930-2000 9635eu 11615va
2000-2030 9635eu 11615va
Georgian
1000-1100 9655as
German
1130-1200 13760eu
1200-1230 13760eu
1730-1800 9410eu (ex 11835)
1800-1830 9410eu (ex 11835)
Italian
1400-1430 9610eu
Kazakh
1330-1400 11880as
Persian
0830-0900 11795as
0900-1000 11975as
1500-1600 9765as
Russian
1300-1400 11965va
Spanish
0100-0200 9770va 9870eu
1630-1700 11930va
1700-1730 11930va
Tatar
1000-1030 9855as
Turkish
0000-0100 7260as
0100-0200 7260as
0400-0500 6040as 11980va
0500-0600 6040as 11980va
0600-0700 11750as 11955va 13635va
0700-0800 11750as 11955va 13635va
0800-0900 11750as 11955va 13635va
0900-1000 11955va 13635va
1000-1100 11955va 13635va
1100-1200 11955va 13635va
1300-1400 9840va
1400-1500 9840va
1500-1600 9840va
1600-1700 5960va 9460eu
1700-1800 5960va 9460eu
1800-1900 5960va 9460eu
1900-2000 5960va 9460eu
2000-2100 5960va 9460eu
Turkmen
1200-1230 11825as
Urdu
1200-1300 13710as
Uyghur
0200-0300 9465as
1230-1300 11700as
1300-1330 11700as
Uzbek
1030-1100 13650as
(BCDX-Top Nx 1240-13 Feb 2016/W Bueschel)
***************************************************
kHz UTC tx kW deg language target
7260 0000-0200 EMR 500 72 TURKISH AS
9770 0100-0200 EMR 500 290 SPANISH NoWeAF/AMs/SoEUR
9870 0100-0200 EMR 500 270 SPANISH AMs/SoEUR
9465 0200-0300 EMR 500 72 UYGHUR AS
6165 0300-0400 EMR 250 138 ENGLISH AS
9515 0300-0400 EMR 500 325 ENGLISH AMs/EUR
6040 0400-0600 EMR 500 138 TURKISH AS
11980 0400-0600 EMR 500 310 TURKISH EUR/AM
11750 0600-0900 EMR 500 97 TURKISH AS
11955 0600-1200 EMR 500 150 TURKISH AF/AS
13635 0600-1300 EMR 500 310 TURKISH EUR/AM
11730 0700-0800 EMR 500 95 AZERBAIJAN AS
11795 0830-1000 EMR 500 95 PERSIAN AS
11750 0900-1000 EMR 500 210 ARABIC AF/AS
9855 1000-1030 EMR 500 32 TATAR AS
9655 1000-1100 EMR 500 72 GEORGIAN AS
13650 1030-1100 EMR 500 72 UZBEK AS
7210 1100-1130 EMR 250 290 BULGARIAN EUR
15240 1100-1200 EMR 500 62 CHINESE AS
13760 1130-1230 EMR 500 310 GERMAN EUR
11825 1200-1230 EMR 500 90 TURKMEN AS
13710 1200-1300 EMR 500 92 URDU AS
11700 1230-1330 EMR 500 72 UYGHUR AS
15450 1230-1330 EMR 500 318 ENGLISH EUR/AM
11965 1300-1400 EMR 500 20 RUSSIAN AS/EUR
9840 1300-1600 EMR 500 310 TURKISH EUR/AM
11880 1330-1400 EMR 500 62 KAZAKH AS
9610 1400-1430 EMR 500 290 ITALIAN EUR
9540 1400-1500 EMR 250 150 ARABIC AF/AS
17770 1400-1500 EMR 500 252 ARABIC AF/SoEUR
9765 1500-1600 EMR 250 105 PERSIAN AS
11765 1500-1630 EMR 500 92 DARI-PASHTO AS
9530 1530-1630 EMR 500 95 AZERBAIJAN AS
5960 1600-2100 EMR 500 150 TURKISH AF/AS
9460 1600-2100 EMR 500 310 TURKISH EUR
11930 1630-1730 EMR 500 270 SPANISH AF/EUR
15520 1630-1730 EMR 500 95 ENGLISH AS
7360 1730-1830 EMR 500 190 FRENCH AF
9410 1730-1830 EMR 500 318 GERMAN EUR (ex 11835)
9785 1830-1930 EMR 500 310 ENGLISH EUR
9635 1930-2030 EMR 500 310 FRENCH EUR
11615 1930-2030 EMR 500 252 FRENCH NoAF/CeAF/WeAF
7205 2030-2130 EMR 500 105 ENGLISH AS/AUS/NZL
9830 2200-2300 EMR 500 310 ENGLISH AMs/EUR
5960 1600-2100 38E,39,40W 500 150 0 205 TUR
6040 0400-0600 39 500 138 0 215 TUR
6165 0300-0400 38E,39,40W 250 138 0 215 ENG
7205 2030-2130 39-41,49,54,55,58-60 500 105 7 219 ENG
7210 1100-1130 28S 250 280 -10 210 BUL
7260 0000-0200 42,43 500 72 0 211 TUR
7360 1730-1830 38,47,48 500 190 0 205 FRA
9410 1730-1830 28 500 318 8 205 DEU
9460 1600-2100 27,28 500 310 0 215 TUR
9465 0200-0300 42,43 500 72 0 211 UIG
9515 0300-0400 3-5,6E,7-11,17,27,28 500 325 0 219 ENG
9530 1530-1630 29SE,39NE,40,41 500 95 -10 215 AZE
9540 1400-1500 38E,39,40 250 150 30 205 ARA
9610 1400-1430 27S,28S,37N 500 290 0 210 ITA
9635 1930-2030 27,28W 500 310 -10 215 FRA
9655 1000-1100 29S,30SW 500 72 0 211 GEO
9765 1500-1600 30S,40 250 105 0 205 FAS
9770 0100-0200 8S,10-12,27S,37N 500 290 0 219 SPA
9785 1830-1930 27,28 500 310 0 205 ENG
9830 2200-2300 5,8,9,11N,17-18,27-28 500 310 -10 215 ENG
9840 1300-1600 27,28 500 310 0 215 TUR
9855 1000-1030 19-21,29,30 500 32 -10 215 TAT
9870 0100-0200 12S,13-15,16N,37 500 270 -10 210 SPA
11615 1930-2030 37,38,46 500 262 10 211 FRA
11700 1230-1330 42,43 500 72 0 211 UIG
11730 0700-0800 29SE,39NE,40NW 500 95 -10 215 AZE
11750 0600-0900 29S,30S,40-43 500 97 25 205 TUR
11750 0900-1000 37N,38N,39N,40W 500 210 30 216 ARA
11765 1500-1630 29S,30S,40-43 500 92 20 211 DARI/PASHTO
11795 0830-1000 39N,40NW 500 95 -10 215 FAS
11825 1200-1230 29SE,30S,40N 500 90 -7 219 TKM
11880 1330-1400 29-31,42NW 500 62 -10 211 KAZ
11930 1630-1730 27S,28,37 500 270 -10 210 SPA
11955 0600-1200 38E,39,40W 500 150 0 205 TUR
11965 1300-1400 19-22,29,30N 500 20 20 205 RUS
11980 0400-0600 18S,27,28 500 310 0 215 TUR
13635 0600-1300 27,28 500 310 0 215 TUR
13650 1030-1100 30S,40N 500 72 0 211 UZB
13710 1200-1300 40,41N 500 92 20 211 URD
13760 1130-1230 28 500 318 8 205 DEU
15240 1100-1200 30-32,42-44 500 62 -10 211 CHN
15450 1230-1330 18S,27,28W 500 318 8 205 ENG
15520 1630-1730 30S,40E,41N,49 500 95 -10 215 ENG
17770 1400-1500 37,38W,46 500 252 -10 211 ARA
(TRT Ankara, A-16 schedule via wwdxc BC-DX TopNews Febr 12)
(BC-DX/Top Nx 1240/13 Feb 2016-W Bueschel)

VOA Radiogram Weekend Schedule


Have your white laboratory coats ready, because VOA Radiogram will be very experimental this weekend.

Battle of the 55-wpm modes.  VOA Radiogram listener and contributor Mark Hirst in the UK suggests an experiment with the BPSK63F mode. His interest was generated by an article in the August QST magazine about the "flavors of PSK." It noted that BPSK63F, with its forward error correction,  has a "remarkable ability to be decoded under poor conditions."

During the early editions of VOA Radiogram, we did transmit BPSK63F a few times. This weekend, we'll do it again, in comparison with two other modes that also have speeds of about 55 words per minute: MFSK16 and Olivia 8-1000.  The RSID for each mode will be followed by a 15-second tuning signal, in case you must manually change modes. More details below in the lineup.

The return of Flmsg.  This weekend's program will include on item in Flmsg format. Flmsg is an add-on to Fldigi that allows the transmission and reception of message forms and formatted html documents.

If you don’t already have Fldigi, download it from https://sourceforge.net/projects/fldigi/files/fldigi/ . Download Flmsg  from https://sourceforge.net/projects/fldigi/files/flmsg/ .

To make Flmsg work with Fldigi, in Fldigi: Configure > Misc > NBEMS > under Reception of flmsg files, select Open with flmsg and Open in browser, and below that indicate where your Flmsg.exe file is located – probably somewhere in Program Files(x86).

If all goes well, when the digital mode transmission concludes, Flmsg will open a new window of your web browser to display a formatted VOA Radiogram transmission schedule. If your default browser is not open, Flmsg will open it for you. (If you are asked to ignore checksum error, select Yes.)

If it doesn’t work the first time, or you don’t have Flmsg installed, you can try this later from your recording.

In Windows, an easy way to save the received document is to use the Microsoft Snipping Tool. Please send that image as an attachment to your reception report.

If you are an Android user, TIVAR does not accommodate Flmsg files. But a similar app, AndFlmsg, as its name would indicate, does. Unlike TIVAR, which is receive-only, AndFlmsg encodes as well as decodes and is used by radio amateurs for message traffic. After the Flmsg is received, go to the index screen and press on the name of the file.

Here is the lineup for VOA Radiogram, program 172, 16-17 July 2016. All modes are centered on 1500 Hz.

 1:35 MFSK32: Program preview (now)
 3:06 MFSK32: Osmosis to generate electricity*
      Battle of the 55 wpm modes ...
11:33 BPSK63F: "Snowline" around new star
15:04 MFSK16: Fuel-saving cars may pollute more
18:36 Olivia 8-1000: "Frankenstein" galaxy detected
21:30 MFSK32: Image and intro to Flmsg
23:52 MFSK32: VOA Radiogram schedule in html via Flmsg
27:03 MFSK32: Closing announcements
* with image

Please send reception reports to radiogram@voanews.com .

VOA Radiogram transmission schedule
(all days and times UTC):
Sat 0930-1000 5745 kHz
Sat 1600-1630 17580 kHz
Sun 0230-0300 5745 kHz
Sun 1930-2000 15670 kHz
All via the Edward R. Murrow transmitting station in North Carolina.

The Mighty KBC will also transmit Flmsg. This will be during its broadcasting to North America, Sunday 0000 to 0200 UTC (Saturday 8-10 pm EDT), on 9925 kHz, via Germany. A minute of MFSK32, in Flmsg format, will be at will broadcast at 0131 UTC. Please send reports for this KBC reception to Eric: themightykbc@gmail.com .

DigiDX will provide DX and media news in MFSK32 and a mixture of other modes:

Sunday 2130-2200 UTC, 15770 kHz, via WRMI Florida
Sunday 2330-2400 UTC, 11580 kHz, via WRMI Florida

Monday 2000-2130 UTC, 6070 kHz, via Channel 292 Germany
Daily 1830-1900 and 0530-0600 UTC, 6070 kHz, via Channel 292 Germany
Look for any additions or changes to the DigiDX schedule at http://www.digidx.uk/ or https://www.facebook.com/digidx/

IBC (Italian Broadcasting Corporation) has a broadcast to Europe on 6070 kHz, Wednesdays, 2000-2200 UTC, with MFSK32 and Olivia 16-500 at 2030-2100 UTC. See http://ibcradio.webs.com/ for the complete schedule and contact information.


Thank you for your reception reports for last weekend's VOA Radiogram. Reception conditions were generally good, although propagation Saturday at 1600-1630 UTC on 17580 varied widely in different parts of the world. I will try to respond to as many reports as possible before the weekend is over.
I hope you can tune in and write in this weekend.
Kim Andrew Elliott
Producer and Presenter
VOA Radiogram
voaradiogram.net
Twitter: @VOARadiogram